Get out your notepads, pencils and jumbo erasers. With one week left in the regular season, it’s time to figure out playoff possibilities for the area high school football teams.
Starting in District 16-4A with the Brownwood Lions, their mission is simple — win and you’re in.
If the Lions defeat Midway in Hewitt Friday, Brownwood will again enter the postseason as the Division II second seed from 16-4A. Lose, and things can get awful messy.
The good news for Brownwood is it won’t have to deal with a coin toss this year. The bad news, however, is with a loss it will be very difficult for the Lions to slip into the postseason.
The reason for the complication is there would be a three-way for third place (sound familiar?) with Brownwood, Midway and the winner of the Killeen-University game.
If Brownwood (6-3, 2-2) loses to Midway (4-5, 1-3) and Killeen (5-4, 1-3) defeats University (2-7, 1-3), the Lions are out of the postseason picture. The Lions would have lost to both teams they were tied with, leaving them no chance to win a points tiebreaker. Midway would then move on with wins the Lions and Killeen.
In the case of a Brownwood-Midway-University logjam, the Lions could get in if they lost by 10 points or less. Brownwood owns the maximum 18 points awarded in 16-4A for a win after their lopsided victory over University, while Midway is at a minus 4 in points due to their loss to the Trojans.
An 11-point Midway win would give the Panthers plus 7 points and reduce the Lions to plus 7 points. Midway would then advance due to winning head-to-head.
University has already played both teams and finished at minus 14 in points, which means the Trojans cannot advance.
The Early Longhorns (6-3, 6-0) have punched their postseason ticket and will represent District 6-2A in the Division I portion of the playoffs regardless of their outcome at Ballinger Friday.
Ballinger (7-2, 5-1) is also in the playoffs as the top seed in Division II due to its win over Coleman. The Bearcats can clinch a share of the 6-2A title with a win over Early, but a loss would not effect their playoff position as only Coleman could tie them, and Ballinger owns the head-to-head tiebreaker.
Coleman (7-2, 4-2) — which has lost two straight district games by a total of three points — still holds its playoff future in its hands. With a win over Jim Ned, the Bluecats will lock up the third playoff berth from 6-2A. A loss, however, would lead to a three-way tie for the final playoff berth.
If Coleman loses, it would be tied with Jim Ned (6-3, 3-3) and the winner of the Bangs-Wall game.
For Bangs (4-5, 3-3) to have a shot at making the playoffs, it must defeat Wall (4-5, 3-3), then have Jim Ned knock off Coleman by 15 points or more, as that is the max in the 6-2A points tiebreaker. That would then lead to a coin flip to decide the third playoff team as Bangs would have beaten Jim Ned, Jim Ned would have beaten Coleman and Coleman would have beaten Bangs all by the maximum number of points in the tiebreaker.
If Bangs falls to Wall it is out of the playoffs, but then Coleman, Jim Ned and Wall would be in a three-way tie.
Coleman currently stands at plus 15 with a max win over Wall, Jim Ned is at minus 1 with a 28-27 loss to Wall Friday, and Wall would be a non-factor at minus 14 points having played both teams.
For Coleman to miss the playoffs in that situation, Jim Ned would have to defeat the Bluecats by 8 points. That would put Jim Ned and Coleman both at plus 7 in points and Jim Ned would advance due to the head-to-head victory.
The Goldthwaite Eagles clinched their fourth straight playoff berth with a 48-0 victory at Covington Friday.
The Eagles (7-2, 4-1) will host playoff-bound Valley Mills (7-2, 4-1) in a game that will determine second place in the district and decide the positioning of the two Division II seeds out of 13-A.
Meridian (9-1, 6-0) clinched the district championship with its 18-7 win over Valley Mills Friday and will be off next week as the Yellowjackets were slated to face Frost, which has forfeited its season.
Six-Man Division I, District 13
The May Tigers are in the playoffs by virtue of their 68-20 win over Blanket Friday, but what seed they will receive depends on Friday’s outcome.
With a May (8-1, 3-0) win over Santa Anna (7-2, 2-1), the Tigers would be the outright district champions and clinch the top seed. This scenario would also ensure Blanket (3-6, 2-1) earns the second seed despite its outcome against Rising Star as it would own the head-to-head advantage over Santa Anna.
A Santa Anna win over May, coupled with a Blanket loss to Rising Star, would send the Mountaineers to the playoffs as the district champion and May would enter as the runner-up.
In the case of a three-way tie between Santa Anna, May and Blanket, a point system — with a 25-point max — would serve as the tiebreaker.
May is currently at plus 25 due to its win over Blanket. Blanket, meanwhile, is at minus 23 points with its loss May and a two-point win over Santa Anna. But the Tigers have no chance to improve their standing.
Meanwhile, the Mountaineers are sitting at minus 2 and a win — which would create the tie, assuming Blanket defeats Rising Star — would only increase Santa Anna’s total, which would leave Blanket out of the playoffs for the second straight year.
A 14-point win by Santa Anna would move the Mountaineers ahead of May as the top seed in a three-way tie. The Mountaineers would own a plus 12 in the points tiebreaker, while May would slide to plus 11.
Six-Man Division I, District 15
The No. 2 Richland Springs Coyotes (8-0, 3-0) and the Rochelle Hornets (8-1, 3-0) have both clinched playoff berths. The two teams will clash for the district championship Friday with the winner earning the title and the district’s top playoff seed. The loser will go into the Division I playoffs as the second seed.
Six-Man Division II, District 14
The playoff picture in the Six-Man Division II, District 14 race got a lot more clouded Friday night.
The Zephyr Bulldogs (6-3, 3-0) are still in the driver’s seat to win their second district title and secure the top playoff seed with a win over Paint Rock (6-3, 2-1) in Friday’s regular-season finale.
A potential Zephyr victory would also eliminate Paint Rock from postseason contention. Paint Rock would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker with Lohn (6-3, 2-1) regardless of its outcome against last-place Novice.
A Zephyr loss, coupled with a Lohn (6-3, 2-1) win, would create a three-way tie for the district championship.
In that scenario, Zephyr, Paint Rock and Lohn would then go straight to a three-way coin toss to determine which teams advance to the playoffs. The odd team would be eliminated.
Zephyr could still reach the playoffs as the second seed with a loss Friday, but that would require a Lohn loss as well.